0xcd026bF7d513452d30998E0e12818b1941F26295-1768977828215
0xcd026bf7d513452d30998e0e12818b1941f26295
- Realised P&L
- $-7.11
- Volume
- $175.21
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $13.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.460Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$1.57at 0.560Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
- +$0.56at 0.780Will Trump talk to Jensen Huang in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-22 09:19 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 06:07 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 02:33 | Will India join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 01:02 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 00:44 | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 00:43 | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 07:16 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 07:07 | Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 07:07 | Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 07:06 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 07:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 06:54 | Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.090734073 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 06:53 | Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 06:53 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BUY | 0.5399999712 | $3.00 |
| 01-21 06:52 | Will Trump talk to Jensen Huang in January? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |