DiversifiedBS
0xccff3146eff948611822511963392278b243e845
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $1.91M
- Markets traded
- 1,197
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,197
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No | 0.760 | 1.000 | $799.60 | +$191.60 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.625 | $750.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.995 | $397.99 | +$94.00 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings · Golden State Valkyries | 0.640 | 0.440 | $343.75 | −$156.25 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.584 | 0.601 | $120.10 | +$3.30 |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5) · Golden State Valkyries | 0.490 | 0.085 | $86.73 | −$413.26 |
| UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasa · Musasa | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.00 |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$511.00 |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) · Thunder | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$273.00 |
| Nets vs. Nuggets · Nets | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$310.00 |
| Santos vs. Yoo · Yoo | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4PM ET · Up | 0.455 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$538.35 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.716 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will Solana reach $240 in September? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.638Will Solana reach $160 in January?
- +$2.6kat 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.453Pistons vs. Warriors
- +$2.6kat 0.691Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$2.4kat 0.580Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:07 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.64 | $500.00 |
| 10-01 01:06 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $500.00 |
| 09-30 23:38 | Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics | BUY | 0.1950008604 | $200.00 |
| 09-30 13:58 | Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Enrico Dalla Valle | BUY | 0.93 | $1000.00 |
| 09-30 13:58 | Adana: Teodora Kostovic vs Dalma Galfi | BUY | 0.4 | $160.00 |
| 09-30 13:58 | China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua | BUY | 0.38 | $152.00 |
| 09-30 04:10 | Canucks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.97 | $361.81 |
| 09-30 03:35 | Canucks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.68 | $68.00 |
| 09-29 18:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.6995 | $139.90 |
| 09-29 13:38 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $756.00 |
| 09-29 03:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7013666667 | $210.41 |
| 09-29 03:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.72 | $216.00 |
| 09-29 03:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.729656 | $437.79 |
| 09-29 03:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.71 | $249.92 |
| 09-29 01:34 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |