shanners
0xcceb79b4289c018c582a468af42d26ada12f7ef2
- Realised P&L
- $-65.26
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $349.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $99.38 | −$0.63 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.835 | $76.37 | +$1.37 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.905 | $75.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.705 | $74.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $24.34 | −$0.66 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.46at 0.608Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
- +$26.58at 0.790USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
- +$21.88at 0.378Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$12.92at 0.885Will England win on 2026-10-06?
- +$10.39at 0.770Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 21:48 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.9 | $75.00 |
| 10-06 21:47 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 21:45 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $75.18 |
| 10-06 21:45 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $113.52 |
| 10-05 12:53 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $70.00 |
| 10-05 12:52 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $75.00 |
| 10-05 12:50 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7099999988 | $75.00 |
| 10-05 12:50 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999991 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 12:49 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 17:06 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21? | BUY | 0.5299999931 | $20.62 |
| 09-17 21:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 21:55 | Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | BUY | 0.6999999837 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 16:37 | Fed rate cut by September meeting? | BUY | 0.9829999996 | $21.79 |
| 09-15 21:58 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0749999932 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 21:58 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9099999826 | $35.00 |