PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shanners

0xcceb79b4289c018c582a468af42d26ada12f7ef2

Realised P&L
$-65.26
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$349.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.8000.795$99.38−$0.63
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.8200.835$76.37+$1.37
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.9000.905$75.42+$0.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.7100.705$74.47−$0.53
Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.185$24.34−$0.66
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$30.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$20.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 21:48Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.9$75.00
10-06 21:47Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.8$100.00
10-06 21:45Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.999$75.18
10-06 21:45Will England win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.999$113.52
10-05 12:53Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.9299999997$70.00
10-05 12:52Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.8199999998$75.00
10-05 12:50Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.7099999988$75.00
10-05 12:50Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?BUY0.1899999991$25.00
10-05 12:49Will England win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.8799999996$100.00
09-19 17:06Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?BUY0.5299999931$20.62
09-17 21:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.409999991$10.00
09-17 21:55Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?BUY0.6999999837$30.00
09-16 16:37Fed rate cut by September meeting?BUY0.9829999996$21.79
09-15 21:58Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.0749999932$10.00
09-15 21:58Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.9099999826$35.00