Jawid.shah
0xcce9a96ba47f0acc495b6e2c0981d8aa9ac9ddf1
- Realised P&L
- $-344.50
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $175.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.295 | $74.09 | +$7.79 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.255 | $59.49 | −$8.16 |
| Will England win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.170 | $29.05 | −$7.94 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.365 | $12.64 | −$1.91 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.47at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$32.34at 0.381Will Rodri join Real Madrid?
- +$22.99at 0.580Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$16.34at 0.660Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
- +$10.60at 0.699Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:04 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-29 15:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.20 |
| 10-29 14:31 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $33.54 |
| 10-29 14:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.2899999989 | $72.00 |
| 10-28 18:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.76 |
| 10-27 23:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 10-27 23:06 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4199999941 | $25.47 |
| 10-27 02:06 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.999 | $48.14 |
| 10-27 01:57 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0017291667 | $0.91 |
| 10-27 01:21 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.01 | $4.76 |
| 10-26 09:01 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $17.37 |
| 10-26 00:13 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2740106923 | $18.30 |
| 10-26 00:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.30 |
| 10-25 23:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.875999998 | $16.05 |
| 10-25 23:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1375142269 | $16.05 |