PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcce931d0f2ca3eaa3967ce7526dd3be88c335f7e

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$29.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1100.049$26.02−$32.99
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$3.80−$50.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 19:21Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.48$4.80
05-19 23:15Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.8499999976$35.30
05-19 23:06Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.8368$20.92
05-05 18:59Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.12$59.23
04-10 14:10Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.018$0.54
04-10 13:55Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.02$0.50
02-09 01:14Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.34$13.94
01-26 15:24Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?SELL0.989$3.18
01-16 18:53Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?SELL0.8$5.22
01-16 18:52Will Marty Supreme be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.991$3.00
01-09 17:00Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1416474344$40.93
01-09 16:59Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?SELL0.983$3.00
01-06 21:39Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)SELL0.999$31.87
01-06 18:15New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? BUY0.9869999377$5.99
01-06 18:14Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.986$3.00