0xcce931d0f2ca3eaa3967ce7526dd3be88c335f7e
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $29.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.049 | $26.02 | −$32.99 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $3.80 | −$50.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.42at 0.690Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.01at 0.816Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$9.87at 0.852Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$5.13at 0.487Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$1.12at 0.964Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 19:21 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 05-19 23:15 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.8499999976 | $35.30 |
| 05-19 23:06 | Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.8368 | $20.92 |
| 05-05 18:59 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $59.23 |
| 04-10 14:10 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.54 |
| 04-10 13:55 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.50 |
| 02-09 01:14 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.34 | $13.94 |
| 01-26 15:24 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $3.18 |
| 01-16 18:53 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | SELL | 0.8 | $5.22 |
| 01-16 18:52 | Will Marty Supreme be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.991 | $3.00 |
| 01-09 17:00 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1416474344 | $40.93 |
| 01-09 16:59 | Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31? | SELL | 0.983 | $3.00 |
| 01-06 21:39 | Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026) | SELL | 0.999 | $31.87 |
| 01-06 18:15 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | BUY | 0.9869999377 | $5.99 |
| 01-06 18:14 | Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.986 | $3.00 |