0xccdfa2e203e995a88b54ab56eececa9eab7536c5
0xccdfa2e203e995a88b54ab56eececa9eab7536c5
- Realised P&L
- $-12.55
- Volume
- $484.13
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $29.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.515 | $10.05 | −$1.66 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $9.10 | −$0.10 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? · No | 0.470 | 0.325 | $6.50 | −$2.90 |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.125 | $2.50 | −$2.10 |
| Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane? · No | 0.380 | 0.280 | $1.38 | −$0.49 |
| Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.055 | $0.07 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.18at 0.770Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?
- +$0.38at 0.150Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.510Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
- +$-0.60at 0.580Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
- +$-0.60at 0.570Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?