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Traders

0xccdf8ad1870f79d147c8ccae01d5b68998f71061

Realised P&L
$8.09
Volume
$91.28
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$14.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.4400.725$3.30+$1.30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2600.335$2.58+$0.58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · Yes0.4300.425$1.98$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7800.745$1.91$0.09
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? · Yes0.2700.250$1.85$0.15
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4400.275$1.25$0.75
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.4900.355$1.06$0.41
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3000.108$0.72$1.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-04 08:14Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-04 00:14Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
08-03 16:12Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-03 08:11Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-03 00:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-02 16:08Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.2839999193$2.00
08-02 08:06Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-01 23:53Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-01 15:52Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
08-01 05:09Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 21:07Will Palantir say "Insurance" during earnings call?BUY0.54$1.62
07-31 13:06Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.41$1.23
07-30 17:41Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.49$1.47
07-29 09:17Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5799998886$1.77
Trader 0xccdf…1061 · PolyBot