mapache94
0xccda07a7be571ec760bd1832a32d2efed4ea3201
- Realised P&L
- $-0.10
- Volume
- $324.52
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $12.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.730 | $12.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? · No | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 18? · No | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 16? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.29at 0.019Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18?
- +$2.40at 0.304Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$0.96at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$0.83at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$0.67at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.759999993 | $13.00 |
| 09-19 03:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? | BUY | 0.0779999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 03:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.0118569864 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? | SELL | 0.141 | $7.83 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0592300075 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0579999977 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:52 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 13? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.99 |
| 09-13 05:51 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 13? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.96 |
| 09-13 05:47 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 13? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:47 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 13? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $0.21 |