exploid
0xccd83eb45063377cfc30e39e385d40d0be7c6083
- Realised P&L
- $676.56
- Volume
- $95.5k
- Markets traded
- 4,720
- Open portfolio
- $32.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,720
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.570 | 0.998 | $4.99 | +$2.14 |
| Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.570 | 0.995 | $4.97 | +$2.12 |
| Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants · Yomiuri Giants | 0.690 | 0.460 | $4.60 | −$2.30 |
| Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No | 0.810 | 0.595 | $3.67 | −$1.33 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.450 | 0.500 | $3.32 | +$0.33 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions · Lotte Giants | 0.330 | 0.640 | $3.20 | +$1.55 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · NC Dinos | 0.630 | 0.630 | $3.15 | +$0.00 |
| Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes? · No | 0.580 | 0.535 | $2.67 | −$0.23 |
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.560 | 0.425 | $2.13 | −$0.68 |
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers · Hanshin Tigers | 0.670 | 0.003 | $0.02 | −$3.92 |
| Chunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.710 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$6.48 |
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions · Saitama Seibu Lions | 0.700 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.58 |
| Ian Happ: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Up | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.28at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$90.42at 0.719Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$88.20at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$86.30at 0.662Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$82.87at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:03 | KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-03 19:03 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers | BUY | 0.67 | $3.93 |
| 08-03 13:01 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.67 | $4.14 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | BUY | 0.7 | $5.20 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.76 | $6.09 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Chunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows | BUY | 0.71 | $6.48 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.69 | $6.89 |
| 08-03 13:01 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.58 | $3.54 |
| 08-02 19:00 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-02 12:58 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 08-02 12:58 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |