exploid
0xccd83eb45063377cfc30e39e385d40d0be7c6083
- Realised P&L
- $696.91
- Volume
- $96.0k
- Markets traded
- 4,793
- Open portfolio
- $25.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,793
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers · SSG Landers | 0.730 | 0.730 | $4.63 | +$0.00 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.450 | 0.500 | $3.32 | +$0.33 |
| Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No | 0.810 | 0.520 | $3.21 | −$1.79 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions · Lotte Giants | 0.330 | 0.520 | $2.60 | +$0.95 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · NC Dinos | 0.560 | 0.500 | $2.50 | −$0.30 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers · KT Wiz | 0.590 | 0.500 | $2.50 | −$0.45 |
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.560 | 0.495 | $2.48 | −$0.33 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions | 0.630 | 0.395 | $1.98 | −$1.18 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants · Kiwoom Heroes | 0.730 | 0.255 | $1.50 | −$2.80 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.088 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up | 0.659 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers · Hanshin Tigers | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.56 |
| Ian Happ: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.09 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics · Atlanta Dream | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Up | 0.601 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.18at 0.624Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$197.54at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$188.96at 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$186.93at 0.615Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$159.77at 0.638Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 21:23 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.59 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 08-13 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-13 16:40 | Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-13 12:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-13 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-13 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-13 09:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 08-13 08:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-13 08:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-13 08:08 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.074 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 06:00 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |