0F62
0xccd81fbd3395dc43a0531f8484b21c2462daf4de
- Realised P&L
- $278.3k
- Volume
- $12.11M
- Markets traded
- 3,674
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,674
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.961 | $3.6k | −$9.03 |
| National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang · Yulia Putintseva | 0.667 | 0.645 | $2.2k | −$73.57 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar | 0.380 | 0.385 | $2.1k | +$27.50 |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.873 | 0.610 | $799.06 | −$344.14 |
| Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils · Kamil Majchrzak | 0.750 | 0.745 | $793.88 | −$5.33 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$146.50 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.5kat 0.813Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$140.9kat 0.813Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$95.1kat 0.862Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$39.9kat 0.809Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
- +$35.5kat 0.902Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:56 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.38 | $2.1k |
| 08-02 23:55 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.42 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 23:37 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.4858812863 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 23:01 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.9 | $243.00 |
| 08-02 23:00 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.91 | $598.32 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.62 | $3.7k |
| 08-02 22:53 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.87 | $949.17 |
| 08-02 22:52 | National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang | BUY | 0.67 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 22:52 | National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang | BUY | 0.66 | $4.49 |
| 08-02 22:52 | National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang | BUY | 0.66 | $656.57 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils | BUY | 0.75 | $799.21 |
| 08-02 21:43 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.62 | $58.13 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.63 | $216.56 |
| 08-02 19:10 | National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlek | BUY | 0.58 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 18:13 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.55 | $78.57 |