Almightyhelius
0xccd19d66b9a96c3673ca96ff5594ae8b73c7ddfe
- Realised P&L
- $-12.59
- Volume
- $106.17
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $8.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Flock" in September? · No | 0.810 | 0.500 | $6.17 | −$3.83 |
| Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.120 | 0.120 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.160 | 0.115 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.064 | 0.011 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.079 | 0.007 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.29at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21? | SELL | 0.993 | $7.41 |
| 09-21 04:34 | Will Trump say "Flock" in September? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 04:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 04:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $5.44 |
| 09-21 04:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5148514566 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 04:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 03:41 | Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 03:35 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 03:30 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 02:17 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.0789999991 | $1.00 |