vgbh3e4
0xccc86f2a667854360c04c0024badb33d7dacc493
- Realised P&L
- $-348.41
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $47.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.860 | $24.08 | −$1.12 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.917 | 0.980 | $23.50 | +$1.50 |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.05at 0.979Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.93at 0.901Berachain airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.40at 0.991Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.26at 0.920Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.23at 0.810Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 06:04 | Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 02-28 05:43 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9169999892 | $22.00 |
| 11-15 11:48 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | SELL | 0.975 | $138.32 |
| 11-14 15:17 | Clippers vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.42 | $350.90 |
| 04-24 08:46 | Will Solana reach $300 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.52 |
| 04-24 08:46 | Will Solana reach $250 in April? | BUY | 0.9969999769 | $20.00 |
| 01-08 12:00 | Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $43.82 |
| 01-08 12:00 | Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 12-27 13:51 | Pump.fun airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.9969999972 | $44.63 |
| 12-16 04:57 | Berachain airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.9009999447 | $8.71 |
| 12-16 04:56 | Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.997 | $35.00 |
| 11-12 04:20 | Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.995 | $43.00 |
| 11-04 02:34 | Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.00 |
| 11-04 02:33 | Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | SELL | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 10-21 08:26 | Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |