maxhmz5270
0xccc64b3d2647166fbbe487a49ca145e2769aa5f1
- Realised P&L
- $-20.5k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 1,698
- Open portfolio
- $982.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,698
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.604 | 0.999 | $826.40 | +$326.40 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.567 | 0.080 | $84.20 | −$515.80 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.208 | $71.58 | −$108.98 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$358.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.738Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$2.5kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$1.9kat 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.433Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.828Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 01:49 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6041232098 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 15:36 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 04:21 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $609.76 |
| 07-12 04:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.384 | $1.1k |
| 07-12 04:20 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.202 | $1.1k |
| 07-07 01:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 06-23 03:52 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 03:49 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.190596 | $9.53 |
| 06-15 15:18 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.92 | $358.84 |
| 06-11 14:16 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.5726515074 | $205.42 |
| 06-11 13:53 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.16 | $60.00 |
| 06-11 13:53 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1872675 | $152.81 |
| 06-10 03:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.9099999982 | $289.00 |
| 06-10 02:26 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.3755696756 | $294.44 |
| 06-08 16:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.8999999996 | $1.8k |