AshleyHarris8339
0xccc22730bd14dfc95df58ae5a14ccedb81c1271a
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $268.5k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $402.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.594 | 0.413 | $257.20 | −$112.27 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.230 | 0.150 | $95.25 | −$50.80 |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.260 | $52.26 | +$2.01 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.160 | $0.16 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$980.91at 0.120Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$735.08at 0.320Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
- +$647.91at 0.171Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
- +$579.42at 0.190Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?
- +$414.96at 0.546Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 10:28 | Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.6017983361 | $361.68 |
| 04-21 08:13 | Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.68 | $502.52 |
| 04-21 08:11 | Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.66 | $539.22 |
| 04-13 15:44 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $669.92 |
| 04-13 00:33 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $703.84 |
| 04-13 00:15 | Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.719 | $846.98 |
| 04-12 21:02 | Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.49 | $3.43 |
| 04-12 20:38 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $301.92 |
| 04-12 08:16 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $278.07 |
| 04-11 07:27 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $14.07 |
| 04-11 07:21 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $16.08 |
| 04-11 07:16 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 04-11 06:59 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $9.38 |
| 04-11 06:56 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 04-11 06:54 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $10.05 |