0xccac3a50565a36c52c3cbcc276a9aec8e8dec24f
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $38.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.670 | 0.655 | $20.27 | −$0.46 |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) · Wizards | 0.580 | 0.555 | $17.78 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.65at 0.291Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
- +$17.76at 0.714Celtics vs. Magic
- +$13.56at 0.633Magic vs. Raptors
- +$12.98at 0.744Pacers vs. Heat
- +$10.48at 0.764Cavaliers vs. Bucks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:38 | Spread: Magic (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5799999956 | $18.58 |
| 11-02 06:33 | Celtics vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.64 | $19.51 |
| 11-02 06:24 | Celtics vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.6499999934 | $19.82 |
| 11-02 06:24 | Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.6699999897 | $20.73 |
| 11-01 23:23 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 10:56 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.7 | $43.47 |
| 10-31 23:56 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.7599999991 | $33.73 |
| 10-31 14:30 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.7399999976 | $25.08 |
| 10-31 14:30 | Hawks vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.629999994 | $25.33 |
| 10-30 18:24 | Pacers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.7399999972 | $37.49 |
| 10-30 17:56 | Magic vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.6599999983 | $37.86 |
| 10-29 13:20 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.2899999997 | $21.96 |
| 10-29 13:18 | Cavaliers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.5099999991 | $22.19 |
| 10-29 03:32 | Lakers vs. Clippers | SELL | 0.18 | $9.90 |
| 10-29 03:31 | Lakers vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.8199999954 | $28.31 |