PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xccaad591e23c2d415eeb16d0fc5719c911e45c95

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$34.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1460.004$34.94−$1.4k
US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$750.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.0590.000$0.00−$40.00
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00−$681.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.3240.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00−$146.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$8.00
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$89.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-09 06:12Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.014$10.00
03-09 06:11Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0130302861$10.00
03-09 01:35Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0322810724$19.00
03-09 01:34Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0236616386$1.00
03-09 01:27Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.1641751919$146.07
02-23 05:51Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?SELL0.001$0.44
02-23 05:51Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?SELL0.001$0.44
02-23 05:50Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0127367374$15.00
02-23 05:48US strike on Mexico by March 31?BUY0.1033013094$750.00
02-23 01:53U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY0.2465036735$681.77
02-16 17:36Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0145324347$15.00
02-07 22:56Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.32$19.53
02-07 01:53Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
02-07 01:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSELL0.96$718.03
02-07 01:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.8776768944$654.57