MannyBianco
0xcca96722a7a98c764b10be70f9711890701eaf95
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $169.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,008
- Open portfolio
- $0.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,008
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $0.23 | −$0.07 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.024Spread: Patriots (-4.5)
- +$548.10at 0.041Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 10?
- +$519.80at 0.050Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 Corners
- +$396.90at 0.020Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
- +$330.37at 0.039NK Varaždin vs. FK Jablonec: FK Jablonec O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 02:17 | Allisha Gray: Points O/U 16.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $8.45 |
| 10-06 22:44 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs. Dalian Kun City: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $14.43 |
| 10-05 12:58 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6? | SELL | 0.96 | $12.89 |
| 10-02 14:00 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.91 | $15.16 |
| 10-02 00:02 | Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage | SELL | 0.957371471 | $12.89 |
| 09-30 21:09 | US Virgin Islands vs. Saint-Martin: US Virgin Islands O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.94 | $12.41 |
| 09-30 20:57 | Will OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.93 | $66.58 |
| 09-30 13:22 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $13.33 |
| 09-30 03:06 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 29? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.35 |
| 09-29 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $151.07 |
| 09-29 15:13 | Exact Score: Wuxi Wugou 1 - 2 Ningbo Professional FC? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-29 13:31 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $13.33 |
| 09-28 07:04 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | SELL | 0.601 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 19:13 | Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès: 1st Half O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |