0xcCa90A5D3C8F2d6663817E3650D6aDbe9aB44C9f-1772395966516
0xcca90a5d3c8f2d6663817e3650d6adbe9ab44c9f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $1.93M
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $55.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.3kat 0.527Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$14.3kat 0.485Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$10.0kat 0.559Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$5.3kat 0.676Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$5.2kat 0.763Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3978142077 | $364.00 |
| 08-08 16:33 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.5174132492 | $164.02 |
| 08-08 01:36 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999999 | $2.0k |
| 08-08 01:17 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6983024408 | $2.3k |
| 08-07 22:53 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $89.65 |
| 08-07 22:48 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.783093512 | $3.6k |
| 08-07 16:11 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.731984815 | $1.5k |
| 08-07 16:07 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.0k |
| 08-07 15:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299999984 | $404.00 |
| 08-07 15:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $1000.00 |
| 08-07 14:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.508416845 | $630.69 |
| 08-07 14:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5192769586 | $500.00 |
| 08-07 14:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5097058356 | $494.00 |
| 08-07 14:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $506.43 |
| 08-07 14:26 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $200.00 |