PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xcCa90A5D3C8F2d6663817E3650D6aDbe9aB44C9f-1772395966516

0xcca90a5d3c8f2d6663817e3650d6adbe9ab44c9f

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$1.93M
Markets traded
276
Open portfolio
$55.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded276
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.3790.875$25.6k+$14.5k
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1900.575$6.0k+$4.0k
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.7040.745$4.6k+$253.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7140.992$4.2k+$1.2k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7830.840$3.9k+$259.32
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.5540.275$3.4k$3.5k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.4440.150$2.6k$5.1k
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.2800.900$1.6k+$1.1k
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.5380.160$1.3k$3.1k
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.061$525.57$274.42
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4450.041$416.64$4.2k
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes0.3510.125$356.48$643.52
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.105$328.13$671.88
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · No0.5700.845$148.25+$48.25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6310.885$70.08+$20.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 16:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3978142077$364.00
08-08 16:33Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.5174132492$164.02
08-08 01:36Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7099999999$2.0k
08-08 01:17Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6983024408$2.3k
08-07 22:53Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.55$89.65
08-07 22:48Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.783093512$3.6k
08-07 16:11US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.731984815$1.5k
08-07 16:07US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$1.0k
08-07 15:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7299999984$404.00
08-07 15:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7299999994$1000.00
08-07 14:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.508416845$630.69
08-07 14:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5192769586$500.00
08-07 14:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5097058356$494.00
08-07 14:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.51$506.43
08-07 14:26Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.1$200.00