PolyBot

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Traders

Kurumatani-Sora

0xcca7ff83789edfc959427bb38087f04fdce065de

Realised P&L
$6.49
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
283
Open portfolio
$1.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded283
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft? · Yes0.0700.054$1.54−$0.46
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4980.000$0.00−$5.00
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) · Spurs0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers0.2500.000$0.00−$1.50
Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Spurs0.3180.000$0.00−$4.00
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Timberwolves0.1540.000$0.00−$3.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs0.4790.000$0.00−$2.50
Spread: Thunder (-2.5) · Spurs0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$1.00
Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes0.2230.000$0.00−$4.00
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$2.50
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) · Spurs0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 14:32Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
10-04 08:41Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-03 09:03Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-03 08:40Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.469999906$1.50
09-25 13:09Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.6199999587$1.50
09-13 13:35Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.0909090909$1.00
09-13 13:09Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.5599998805$1.50
09-12 15:10Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.3499999417$1.50
09-06 14:04Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.05$1.00
09-06 13:53Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
09-06 13:18Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.05$1.00
08-23 13:51Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?BUY0.1428571429$2.00
08-15 10:10Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-10 19:17Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?BUY0.0812177746$2.50
07-10 19:17Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?BUY0.0798400006$2.50