PolyBot

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Traders

0xCcA4863648cfC87E9061d62e17d144272DCa8674-1768829294649

0xcca4863648cfc87e9061d62e17d144272dca8674

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$181.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1170.095$1.9k−$434.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$12.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes0.6470.000$0.00−$100.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.3140.000$0.00−$106.00
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No0.0330.000$0.00−$219.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 17:30Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.11$353.00
10-19 17:29Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0236517558$342.46
10-15 16:18Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1177835385$2.0k
05-28 11:26Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?BUY0.3137971756$106.00
05-28 11:25US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?SELL0.62$105.99
05-28 11:01US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?BUY0.6492980547$111.00
05-28 10:57Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL0.0144103353$106.29
04-28 06:22Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.0357924014$264.00
04-28 06:19Will Russia invade another country in 2026?SELL0.0843506798$262.94
04-19 14:01Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.1702389034$530.68
04-19 13:59Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL0.0264421054$521.84
02-21 18:45Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999995$167.28
02-14 11:22Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.073696016$186.00
02-14 11:22Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.15$39.14
02-14 11:22Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?SELL0.2786767782$74.60