0xCcA4863648cfC87E9061d62e17d144272DCa8674-1768829294649
0xcca4863648cfc87e9061d62e17d144272dca8674
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $181.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.095 | $1.9k | −$434.98 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No | 0.314 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$219.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.50at 0.732Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
- +$8.61at 0.220Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-5.01at 0.649US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
- +$-10.43at 0.190Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-25.40at 0.373Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 17:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $353.00 |
| 10-19 17:29 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0236517558 | $342.46 |
| 10-15 16:18 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1177835385 | $2.0k |
| 05-28 11:26 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY | 0.3137971756 | $106.00 |
| 05-28 11:25 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $105.99 |
| 05-28 11:01 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6492980547 | $111.00 |
| 05-28 10:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.0144103353 | $106.29 |
| 04-28 06:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.0357924014 | $264.00 |
| 04-28 06:19 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.0843506798 | $262.94 |
| 04-19 14:01 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1702389034 | $530.68 |
| 04-19 13:59 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.0264421054 | $521.84 |
| 02-21 18:45 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999995 | $167.28 |
| 02-14 11:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.073696016 | $186.00 |
| 02-14 11:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $39.14 |
| 02-14 11:22 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | SELL | 0.2786767782 | $74.60 |