taken63467
0xcca1c9c8534ac428da1ae47e3abd7ed3ab56fdde
- Realised P&L
- $-3.87
- Volume
- $129.32
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $68.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.875 | $49.16 | −$0.84 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.255 | $11.65 | +$1.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.280 | $4.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.535 | $3.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3465346397 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2189054687 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 20:56 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8899999986 | $50.00 |