0xcc9f81e6faab1a3c2828449ec42c9d8a3f86ce7a
0xcc9f81e6faab1a3c2828449ec42c9d8a3f86ce7a
- Realised P&L
- $0.41
- Volume
- $108.39
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $6.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.815 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.715 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.855 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.660 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.290 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.345 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.440Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?
- +$2.40at 0.460Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.560Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.570Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:44 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:54 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:56 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:28 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:14 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 22:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 01:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:19 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:50 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:47 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |