0xCc97Bbe4AEc6a9797100211Eb206F62F443e79b7-1785264269150
0xcc97bbe4aec6a9797100211eb206f62f443e79b7
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $17.82
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Falcons vs Packers game? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.987 | $4.98 | +$0.03 |
| Will the announcers say "Fumble" or "Fumbles" during the Falcons vs Packers game? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.976 | $4.93 | −$0.02 |
| Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Falcons vs Packers game? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.505 | $2.52 | −$2.42 |
| Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Falcons vs Packers game? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.505 | $2.52 | −$2.42 |
| Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Falcons vs Packers game? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.499 | $2.50 | −$2.45 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.004 | $0.36 | −$74.04 |
| Will Costco say "Customer" 10+ times during earnings call? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Will Trump say "First" 5+ times during remarks at Steel Across America? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$398.32at 0.235Will Trump say "Transgender" 3+ times during RNC Convention?
- +$370.70at 0.244Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$188.89at 0.425Will Marco Rubio say "Tariff" during Fox News: My View appearance?
- +$64.97at 0.448Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during RNC Convention?
- +$30.63at 0.787Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 01:11 | Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Falcons vs Packers game? | BUY | 0.9800999901 | $4.95 |
| 09-25 00:48 | Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Falcons vs Packers game? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-25 00:47 | Will the announcers say "Fumble" or "Fumbles" during the Falcons vs Packers game? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-25 00:40 | Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Falcons vs Packers game? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-25 00:34 | Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Falcons vs Packers game? | BUY | 0.9889999233 | $4.95 |
| 09-25 00:01 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.999 | $106.82 |
| 09-24 23:58 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9199999911 | $74.40 |
| 09-24 23:54 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.8873814645 | $94.89 |
| 09-24 21:57 | Will Costco say "Customer" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9799998852 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 21:31 | Will Costco say "Holiday" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 21:14 | Will Costco say "Labor" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8133333333 | $24.40 |
| 09-24 21:13 | Will Costco say "Gold" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.968 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 21:08 | Will Costco say "Tariff" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 21:08 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9799998852 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 21:07 | Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |