PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aaron81

0xcc95e97907cfa624bbc1fe824d05bc2345462cae

Realised P&L
$-144.17
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$31.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? · No0.5501.000$22.46+$10.11
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7? · Yes0.8600.970$9.23+$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:47Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?BUY0.999$12.34
01-30 14:17Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January?BUY0.998$6.39
01-30 14:08Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.995$18.46
01-30 13:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$23.06
12-30 00:29Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?BUY0.998$5.53
12-29 21:32Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.999$9.14
12-29 21:04Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.998$17.56
12-29 20:43Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?BUY0.999$32.97
10-31 00:08Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?BUY0.9929999795$12.60
10-30 22:49Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?BUY0.999$19.45
10-30 19:20Will XRP reach $3.80 in October?BUY0.999$13.13
09-29 10:48Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$19.92
09-28 21:13Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?BUY0.9979999821$18.63
09-28 20:45Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.97$19.43
08-31 12:33Yoon out of custody by August 31?BUY0.999$10.81