0xcc8B1A6b60c3F62073B91ee7887538E201a1495e-1780988042009
0xcc8b1a6b60c3f62073b91ee7887538e201a1495e
- Realised P&L
- $-33.60
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $56.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.034 | $56.89 | −$143.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.75at 0.606Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?
- +$0.48at 0.679Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?
- +$0.44at 0.983Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q2 total backlog be above $230B?
- +$-47.04at 0.052Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:50 | Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 06:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.0026426462 | $2.51 |
| 07-23 10:30 | Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q2 total backlog be above $230B? | BUY | 0.9821428431 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 07:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.0530157639 | $50.45 |
| 07-23 07:03 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? | SELL | 0.877644178 | $487.43 |
| 07-22 14:19 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? | BUY | 0.7167875899 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 14:19 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 14:19 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? | BUY | 0.6299999954 | $11.00 |
| 07-22 14:18 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 14:18 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? | BUY | 0.6002766975 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 14:18 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? | BUY | 0.5470600987 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 15:11 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 15:11 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.1156069364 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 12:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0525460867 | $100.00 |