PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcc8B1A6b60c3F62073B91ee7887538E201a1495e-1780988042009

0xcc8b1a6b60c3f62073b91ee7887538e201a1495e

Realised P&L
$287.78
Volume
$35.0k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$688.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0220.071$316.38+$216.38
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? · Yes0.2620.483$184.35+$84.35
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2500.235$94.00−$6.00
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1060.034$93.71−$198.54
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 10:46Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0225995103$100.00
10-29 10:00Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.1924288996$35.18
10-29 09:59Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?BUY0.5469245394$100.00
10-29 09:58Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.257147657$143.88
10-29 09:57Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?BUY0.3574323572$200.00
10-28 14:12Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?BUY0.2619999995$100.00
10-26 11:24Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.3718374995$305.00
10-26 11:23Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
10-22 10:09Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1060338251$300.00
10-16 08:54Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.132369232$463.05
10-16 08:48Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.142931331$500.00
10-16 06:55Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?SELL0.34$711.32
10-15 10:12Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?BUY0.2867879746$600.00
10-06 08:30Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.25$100.00
10-02 13:43Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?BUY0.7413733794$200.00