sxtn
0xcc8996b760f5dddb6e24ac3db8fbcab6f13dcc54
- Realised P&L
- $-143.52
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $11.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.110 | $11.42 | −$32.38 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.52 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-28 15:25 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.4218867959 | $43.80 |
| 01-31 16:00 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0355384469 | $3.58 |
| 01-31 15:58 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0700760205 | $25.00 |
| 01-31 15:55 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0539999967 | $15.00 |
| 01-31 14:20 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0360000001 | $9.94 |
| 01-31 13:47 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.1299999988 | $90.00 |