0xcc810a6e6171d9c2dc80b45bbdb09f273ec1da07
- Realised P&L
- $-442.25
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $185.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.065 | $115.42 | −$52.27 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $54.64 | −$113.05 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.100 | 0.015 | $15.50 | −$84.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.19at 0.208Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-237.60at 0.182Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 09:08 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0944387626 | $167.69 |
| 08-30 09:07 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0122756594 | $167.69 |
| 08-16 14:22 | Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.1743076187 | $227.09 |
| 08-16 14:19 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.228 | $284.11 |
| 07-31 17:00 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 16:39 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2009999995 | $250.47 |