PolyBot

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Traders

ravendaren

0xcc7ea71bdfe34a46ed76b9d7b5e3de12c13a6aba

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$45.1k
Markets traded
607
Open portfolio
$219.65

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded607
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:57Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?BUY0.2654933333$19.91
10-20 08:56Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?BUY0.691815$13.84
10-19 20:57Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19?BUY0.7$9.80
10-19 19:58Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?BUY0.45$8.10
10-19 19:58Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?BUY0.44$9.68
10-19 19:57Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19?BUY0.3452078431$17.61
10-19 17:57Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?BUY0.58$17.98
10-19 17:57Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19?BUY0.5874625$18.80
10-19 16:58Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 19?BUY0.41$17.63
10-19 16:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19?BUY0.2203970588$7.49
10-19 16:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19?BUY0.2566666667$7.70
10-19 15:03Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 19?BUY0.8248294118$14.02
10-19 10:34Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?BUY0.24$2.40
10-19 10:07Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19?BUY0.46$2.30
10-19 09:59Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?BUY0.4028571429$19.74