ravendaren
0xcc7ea71bdfe34a46ed76b9d7b5e3de12c13a6aba
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Markets traded
- 607
- Open portfolio
- $219.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded607
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$267.51at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 28?
- +$212.69at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?
- +$183.30at 0.079Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 29?
- +$182.81at 0.081Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?
- +$169.33at 0.065Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.2654933333 | $19.91 |
| 10-20 08:56 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.691815 | $13.84 |
| 10-19 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.7 | $9.80 |
| 10-19 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.45 | $8.10 |
| 10-19 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $9.68 |
| 10-19 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.3452078431 | $17.61 |
| 10-19 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.98 |
| 10-19 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.5874625 | $18.80 |
| 10-19 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.41 | $17.63 |
| 10-19 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.2203970588 | $7.49 |
| 10-19 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.2566666667 | $7.70 |
| 10-19 15:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.8248294118 | $14.02 |
| 10-19 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-19 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 10-19 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4028571429 | $19.74 |