DonPatatoPatatero
0xcc74635b8a12d638a1c030637f783e3a9bf7f5aa
- Realised P&L
- $-286.68
- Volume
- $25.6k
- Markets traded
- 375
- Open portfolio
- $120.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded375
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.94at 0.075Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$48.29at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$39.06at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$38.73at 0.117Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$37.39at 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:28 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.01 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.17 |
| 09-16 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0064220183 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:59 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.1081897033 | $29.06 |
| 09-16 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:50 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0384382253 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 16:49 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0199318716 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 16:48 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.0371818182 | $12.27 |
| 09-16 16:48 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.1725657434 | $17.26 |
| 09-16 16:45 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.048 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $4.83 |