PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DonPatatoPatatero

0xcc74635b8a12d638a1c030637f783e3a9bf7f5aa

Realised P&L
$-286.68
Volume
$25.6k
Markets traded
375
Open portfolio
$120.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded375
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0270.032$75.42+$10.05
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0290.018$28.77$16.39
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0480.036$15.21$4.79
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.054$1.31$4.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$4.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.2920.000$0.00$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:28Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.039$0.01
09-16 18:00Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.039$1.17
09-16 17:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.2$1.00
09-16 17:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-16 17:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.0064220183$1.00
09-16 17:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.549999945$1.00
09-16 16:59Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?SELL0.1081897033$29.06
09-16 16:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-16 16:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
09-16 16:50Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0384382253$4.00
09-16 16:49Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0199318716$30.00
09-16 16:48José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?SELL0.0371818182$12.27
09-16 16:48Spain snap election called in 2026?SELL0.1725657434$17.26
09-16 16:45Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.048$20.00
09-11 17:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.3$4.83