12sd65
0xcc710f7387a5f4576cb4fefdd88006c513af6cfb
- Realised P&L
- $31.11
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $1.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.545 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.270 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 27? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| ECS England: Upminster vs Comilla Warriors (ENG) · Upminster | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets · Jazz | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.65 |
| Pelicans vs. 76ers · Pelicans | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies · Nuggets | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Kings vs. Spurs · Kings | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Grambling State Tigers · Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.32at 0.211Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
- +$36.67at 0.120New Orleans Privateers vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
- +$20.48at 0.830Cavaliers vs. Nets
- +$8.06at 0.387Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$7.03at 0.299Solana above $200 on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 15:58 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 15:17 | Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 05:06 | ECS England: Upminster vs Comilla Warriors (ENG) | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 07:16 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bears | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 10:05 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 03:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 05:23 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 05-14 01:46 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 04-29 06:47 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 03-01 13:21 | Cavaliers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 02-24 03:17 | Jazz vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.1 | $1.65 |
| 02-24 03:16 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $2.8k |
| 02-24 02:48 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.8k |
| 02-23 14:47 | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Grambling State Tigers | BUY | 0.0805318611 | $10.00 |
| 02-23 14:46 | New Orleans Privateers vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |