0xcc692fBcD5c340cC4cA1fDDB6EF9410c1658ff2e-1778716980854
0xcc692fbcd5c340cc4ca1fddb6ef9410c1658ff2e
- Realised P&L
- $92.80
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $884.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.847 | $834.03 | +$532.03 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.049 | $29.59 | −$10.94 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $20.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.42at 0.301Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$-5.04at 0.022Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 11:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.3299999981 | $21.00 |
| 10-06 10:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0734173167 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 10:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.838 | $52.67 |
| 10-06 10:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0608109912 | $20.53 |
| 10-06 10:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | SELL | 0.0120649984 | $5.57 |
| 10-06 10:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.0265324555 | $16.66 |
| 10-06 09:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0718550334 | $14.87 |
| 10-06 09:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0717885825 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 09:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.0216658121 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 09:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0709599076 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 01:21 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $176.75 |
| 10-01 18:13 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.2927586683 | $51.85 |
| 10-01 18:12 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 11:07 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0539999977 | $21.57 |
| 05-27 11:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2879999993 | $207.66 |