PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xCc6543e5B599266532b320a93277564389076330-1783202171664

0xcc6543e5b599266532b320a93277564389076330

Realised P&L
$382.06
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$54.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.028$34.48$15.52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2600.171$19.67$10.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 13:20Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0359999966$10.00
07-20 07:42Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0409806459$40.00
07-20 07:42Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2599999945$30.00
07-19 22:03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$531.32
07-15 10:40Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999943$19.94
07-12 08:40Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$26.58
07-12 08:40France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.4$9.76
07-12 08:40Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.28$18.90
07-11 22:24Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3$20.25
07-11 22:23France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.409999991$10.00
07-11 22:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.209$20.90
07-10 22:39Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2109999978$68.05
07-10 21:51Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2109999956$30.00
07-10 21:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.211$30.17
07-10 21:35Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.211$42.20