0xCc6543e5B599266532b320a93277564389076330-1783202171664
0xcc6543e5b599266532b320a93277564389076330
- Realised P&L
- $382.06
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $54.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.028 | $34.48 | −$15.52 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.260 | 0.171 | $19.67 | −$10.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.60at 0.241Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.09at 0.746Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$-0.13at 0.780France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$-0.44at 0.622Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$-0.83at 0.422France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 13:20 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 07:42 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0409806459 | $40.00 |
| 07-20 07:42 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999945 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 22:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $531.32 |
| 07-15 10:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999943 | $19.94 |
| 07-12 08:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $26.58 |
| 07-12 08:40 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.4 | $9.76 |
| 07-12 08:40 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.28 | $18.90 |
| 07-11 22:24 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3 | $20.25 |
| 07-11 22:23 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 22:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.209 | $20.90 |
| 07-10 22:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2109999978 | $68.05 |
| 07-10 21:51 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2109999956 | $30.00 |
| 07-10 21:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $30.17 |
| 07-10 21:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $42.20 |