pktwelve
0xcc56a56b8a1f59e4271abf80aa1dd89daef895b9
- Realised P&L
- $-0.60
- Volume
- $174.46
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) · Grizzlies | 0.150 | 1.000 | $4.92 | +$4.18 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $1.45 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.05at 0.530Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
- +$-0.18at 0.340Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
- +$-0.40at 0.150Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
- +$-0.42at 0.190Will the next elected US president be a woman?
- +$-0.54at 0.920Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 15:13 | Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) | SELL | 0.12 | $0.38 |
| 03-12 12:52 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.94 |
| 03-12 12:04 | Will the next elected US president be a woman? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.58 |
| 03-12 12:04 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.25 |
| 03-12 12:02 | Will the next elected US president be a woman? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.00 |
| 03-12 12:01 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.68 |
| 03-12 12:00 | Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.82 |
| 03-12 12:00 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.67 |
| 03-12 11:54 | Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.00 |
| 03-12 11:53 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 11:27 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.60 |
| 03-12 11:27 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.78 |
| 03-12 11:27 | Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.178 | $0.89 |
| 03-12 11:07 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.00 |
| 03-12 11:07 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |