PolyBot

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Traders

Mangy62

0xcc50df7aecb69c741a10d1ff3f9c5fa69b60df9b

Realised P&L
$12.1k
Volume
$618.4k
Markets traded
374
Open portfolio
$51.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded374
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5690.715$22.9k+$4.7k
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6550.725$8.9k+$860.44
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2930.285$5.5k−$147.49
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.7000.725$5.1k+$175.00
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes0.5520.695$3.6k+$735.83
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4240.475$1.5k+$156.04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3800.725$1.4k+$690.00
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.3960.505$1.3k+$272.50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.745$745.00+$145.00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.615$307.50+$117.50
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1700.155$155.00−$15.00
Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.4600.675$135.00+$43.00
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2800.315$126.00+$14.00
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.2450.325$65.00+$16.00
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? · Yes0.1500.195$52.65+$12.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 00:23Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$1.4k
10-31 00:22Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.64$23.68
10-31 00:21Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.64$23.68
10-31 00:21Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.64$76.80
10-29 04:39Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.39$390.00
10-29 04:26Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?BUY0.25$25.00
10-29 04:26Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?BUY0.24$24.00
10-29 04:22Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$112.00
10-28 21:18Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.56$156.80
10-28 21:17Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.11$245.98
10-28 21:16Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.68$2.4k
10-28 21:14Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.56$224.00
10-28 14:32Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.54$5.40
10-28 14:29Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.55$1.1k
10-28 14:27Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.54$101.28