Mangy62
0xcc50df7aecb69c741a10d1ff3f9c5fa69b60df9b
- Realised P&L
- $13.1k
- Volume
- $535.5k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $9.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.520Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$8.2kat 0.447House control after 2024 election?
- +$7.4kat 0.235Will Trump win 7 swing states?
- +$7.0kat 0.239Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$4.0kat 0.281Trump wins every swing state?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:50 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 09-13 18:48 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | BUY | 0.66 | $69.29 |
| 09-13 18:45 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) | BUY | 0.68 | $135.99 |
| 09-06 19:16 | Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 09-06 19:15 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 09-04 21:18 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-24.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 21:16 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 09-04 21:15 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $126.00 |
| 09-02 17:48 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 09-02 17:46 | Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 09-02 17:45 | San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $52.51 |
| 09-02 17:45 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 08-31 19:13 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 08-31 19:12 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 08-31 19:11 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |