Mangy62
0xcc50df7aecb69c741a10d1ff3f9c5fa69b60df9b
- Realised P&L
- $12.1k
- Volume
- $618.4k
- Markets traded
- 374
- Open portfolio
- $51.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded374
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.520Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$8.2kat 0.447House control after 2024 election?
- +$7.4kat 0.235Will Trump win 7 swing states?
- +$7.0kat 0.239Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$4.0kat 0.281Trump wins every swing state?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:23 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.4k |
| 10-31 00:22 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.64 | $23.68 |
| 10-31 00:21 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.64 | $23.68 |
| 10-31 00:21 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.64 | $76.80 |
| 10-29 04:39 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.39 | $390.00 |
| 10-29 04:26 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 04:26 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 10-29 04:22 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $112.00 |
| 10-28 21:18 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.56 | $156.80 |
| 10-28 21:17 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.11 | $245.98 |
| 10-28 21:16 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.4k |
| 10-28 21:14 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.56 | $224.00 |
| 10-28 14:32 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-28 14:29 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.1k |
| 10-28 14:27 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.54 | $101.28 |