weathermakere
0xcc4fb4f9dd0405a971f992f4cba0011fab1e4926
- Realised P&L
- $-258.89
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $10.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.22at 0.298Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 22?
- +$25.96at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 22?
- +$25.90at 0.433Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 3?
- +$20.68at 0.540Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 2?
- +$17.18at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.3190985915 | $2.27 |
| 09-20 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.59 |
| 09-20 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.86 |
| 09-20 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.22 |
| 09-20 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.77 |
| 09-20 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5702738294 | $4.89 |
| 09-20 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.35 |
| 09-20 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9299999496 | $4.98 |
| 09-20 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.98 |
| 09-20 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9105109289 | $4.98 |
| 09-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9389999977 | $4.98 |
| 09-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9379999966 | $4.98 |
| 09-20 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.54 |
| 09-20 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3499999964 | $4.85 |
| 09-20 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.6652621723 | $3.55 |