PolyBot

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Traders

weathermakere

0xcc4fb4f9dd0405a971f992f4cba0011fab1e4926

Realised P&L
$-258.89
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$10.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 07:42Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 11?SELL0.3190985915$2.27
09-20 09:07Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?SELL0.24$2.59
09-20 08:25Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.45$4.86
09-20 08:25Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?SELL0.59$3.22
09-20 08:22Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20?SELL0.44$3.77
09-20 08:20Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20?BUY0.5702738294$4.89
09-20 08:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20?SELL0.42$2.35
09-20 08:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.9299999496$4.98
09-20 07:37Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20?BUY0.89$4.98
09-20 07:05Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.9105109289$4.98
09-20 07:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20?BUY0.9389999977$4.98
09-20 07:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.9379999966$4.98
09-20 06:29Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.4$5.54
09-20 06:27Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.3499999964$4.85
09-20 06:27Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.6652621723$3.55