PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

siwel

0xcc4ec7593e4884794e9f77e84af8beb3148b7ca3

Realised P&L
$-104.41
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$72.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.625$24.80−$0.20
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31? · Yes0.5200.495$23.80−$1.20
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by October 31? · Yes0.2220.180$20.23−$4.77
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31? · Yes0.5000.405$4.05−$0.95
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 14:56Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?BUY0.5$5.00
09-30 10:28Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.629999995$25.00
09-29 09:24Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?BUY0.5199999908$25.00
09-29 09:23Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by October 31?BUY0.222490033$25.00
09-19 15:21Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
07-09 10:22Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0789999986$50.00
04-07 22:16US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.6199999814$30.00
04-07 22:16US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.358999995$30.00
02-25 18:21US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.4599999908$25.00
07-30 08:19Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?BUY0.8299999975$20.00
07-20 14:18Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.5283205614$25.00
07-19 20:58Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2BUY0.229999995$35.00
06-30 10:32Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.004$0.62
06-17 07:46Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?BUY0.5299999936$25.00
06-16 17:23Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.1949999958$30.00