0xCc4E9a77A691F1136eB656CFc3532344b2545BA1-1781301782776
0xcc4e9a77a691f1136eb656cfc3532344b2545ba1
- Realised P&L
- $37.57
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.92at 0.071Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$28.37at 0.089Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$22.49at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$14.72at 0.261Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$7.94at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 09:45 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0043755378 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 09:37 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 20:23 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.62 |
| 07-01 19:25 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.82 |
| 07-01 19:24 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.163 | $1.63 |
| 06-24 16:26 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.98 |
| 06-21 14:07 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 14:07 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999928 | $4.00 |
| 06-15 07:26 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.0280000003 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 15:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.71 |
| 06-14 13:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 14:00 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |