madutu
0xcc4484e5e9f9bf20b3d2c99c01ec34b6e797c813
- Realised P&L
- $-558.07
- Volume
- $528.5k
- Markets traded
- 338
- Open portfolio
- $367.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded338
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.770Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?
- +$1.3kat 0.822Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 8?
- +$1.1kat 0.878Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14?
- +$911.05at 0.882Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?
- +$788.04at 0.868Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:59 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.7799999109 | $1.40 |
| 09-28 03:06 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 03:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.6799999998 | $282.34 |
| 09-28 02:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.6699999631 | $1.27 |
| 09-25 23:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9829999877 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 09:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | SELL | 0.6857496197 | $1.2k |
| 09-24 02:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.5k |
| 09-21 00:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.65 | $84.56 |
| 09-20 09:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.8967156204 | $116.67 |
| 09-20 09:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? | SELL | 0.9841689869 | $117.35 |
| 09-20 01:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9392452489 | $112.00 |
| 09-19 08:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? | SELL | 0.7428723854 | $590.97 |
| 09-18 20:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.7729999997 | $614.94 |
| 09-18 20:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20? | SELL | 0.992 | $624.86 |
| 09-17 06:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $377.94 |