arbbro
0xcc4279c50a907c73d3b8c1faf993b1d651cf6bd4
- Realised P&L
- $-34.4k
- Volume
- $654.6k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $12.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? · No | 0.271 | 0.225 | $5.8k | −$1.2k |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders · Raiders | 0.330 | 0.365 | $3.4k | +$325.52 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Atlanta Braves | 0.335 | 0.325 | $2.0k | −$62.00 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.250 | 0.255 | $1.7k | +$33.75 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? · No | 0.180 | 0.001 | $0.49 | −$176.68 |
| Will the match end in a draw? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.22 |
| Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-08-27? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$815.36 |
| Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5) · Real Betis Balompié | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| East Texas A&M vs. McNeese · East Texas A&M | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B · Vitality | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.1k |
| FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$542.15 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.31 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.157 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.350Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?
- +$5.1kat 0.240Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-05?
- +$4.6kat 0.509Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
- +$4.3kat 0.572Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
- +$4.1kat 0.550Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:27 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.33 | $93.06 |
| 10-04 20:26 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.33 | $3.0k |
| 10-04 16:00 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.48 | $231.36 |
| 10-03 17:18 | Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.22 | $42.68 |
| 10-03 17:05 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.27 | $117.45 |
| 10-01 17:27 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.27 |
| 10-01 16:34 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.44 | $251.68 |
| 10-01 16:31 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.44 | $245.08 |
| 10-01 15:06 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.1770005418 | $296.14 |
| 10-01 14:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.65 |
| 10-01 14:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.1693133176 | $132.16 |
| 10-01 14:42 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.3k |
| 09-29 21:18 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.511974411 | $1.7k |
| 09-28 11:37 | Will Senegal win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.93 |
| 09-28 11:34 | Will Senegal win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3195019916 | $1.0k |