0xcc3cff73ad19e3579cb5e045464a6257b4a33804
0xcc3cff73ad19e3579cb5e045464a6257b4a33804
- Realised P&L
- $48.39
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $203.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.549 | 1.000 | $98.94 | +$44.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4? · No | 0.617 | 1.000 | $54.97 | +$21.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 4? · No | 0.898 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$5.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$29.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.36at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 30?
- +$45.77at 0.538Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 2?
- +$32.49at 0.457Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?
- +$31.86at 0.534Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?
- +$26.26at 0.575Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.1280060999 | $3.36 |
| 10-04 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.2519939001 | $6.61 |
| 10-04 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.6170181818 | $33.94 |
| 10-04 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.8981604 | $44.91 |
| 10-04 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.5494948985 | $54.39 |
| 10-04 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.2994949495 | $29.65 |
| 10-03 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.6508214286 | $18.22 |
| 10-02 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.52 | $51.48 |
| 10-01 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.7921875 | $25.35 |
| 09-30 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.8665501009 | $12.89 |
| 09-30 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.70 |
| 09-30 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $26.62 |
| 09-30 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.94 |
| 09-30 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.52 |
| 09-30 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3649171687 | $14.54 |