flet
0xcc3a4282eecdbd2e0eb60cf2f5ec9ed66ecd75f1
- Realised P&L
- $37.59
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $15.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.283 | $14.13 | +$6.37 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.003 | $0.82 | −$9.40 |
| Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.018 | $0.33 | −$1.44 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.028 | $0.06 | −$0.09 |
| Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 10? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.36at 0.014Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
- +$9.79at 0.015Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.100Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.70at 0.135Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$5.36at 0.021Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 05:13 | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.78 |
| 05-17 12:12 | Will La Rochelle win? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.09 |
| 05-11 20:25 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of May 11 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 05-11 20:22 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 05-11 20:14 | Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.18 |
| 05-11 19:57 | Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.42 |
| 05-11 19:56 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of May 11 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 05-10 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 04-10 07:20 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | BUY | 0.059 | $4.22 |
| 03-25 06:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $10.64 |
| 03-24 08:08 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.033 | $5.28 |
| 03-24 08:06 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.04 |
| 03-23 12:11 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.80 |
| 03-15 10:20 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.031 | $3.16 |
| 03-15 10:13 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.049 | $0.98 |