rayvanmechelen
0xcc37dfa0597c3a7706d2ad184e77a2040191c4ea
- Realised P&L
- $8.5k
- Volume
- $1.31M
- Markets traded
- 6,121
- Open portfolio
- $13.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,121
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CD Extremadura win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.400 | 0.337 | $827.51 | −$156.67 |
| Will Cerro Porteno win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.690 | 0.987 | $824.97 | +$247.95 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? · No | 0.570 | 0.595 | $790.16 | +$33.20 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · RB Leipzig | 0.589 | 0.605 | $688.80 | +$18.30 |
| Will Toronto FC win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.700 | 0.710 | $590.58 | +$8.32 |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.512 | 0.530 | $504.75 | +$17.26 |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.515 | $475.95 | −$50.83 |
| Alemannia Aachen vs. SC Preussen 06 Munster: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.619 | 1.000 | $454.80 | +$173.22 |
| Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.430 | 0.445 | $453.17 | +$15.28 |
| Will Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.395 | $409.41 | −$77.74 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06? · No | 0.440 | 0.435 | $378.45 | −$4.35 |
| Spread: Kansas City Current (-1.5) · Kansas City Current | 0.360 | 0.405 | $364.50 | +$40.50 |
| Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.560 | 1.000 | $311.65 | +$137.04 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.610 | 0.540 | $304.42 | −$39.46 |
| Spread: Angel City FC (-1.5) · Angel City FC | 0.332 | 0.340 | $256.00 | +$5.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.460Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?
- +$1.9kat 0.357Will Nacional Asuncion win on 2026-10-17?
- +$1.8kat 0.361Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14?
- +$1.8kat 0.372Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-19?
- +$1.7kat 0.384Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:14 | Spread: San Diego Wave FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $97.73 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.6 | $76.92 |
| 11-01 21:05 | Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5) | BUY | 0.25 | $45.13 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will Deportivo Saprissa win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 11-01 20:56 | Will Toronto FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7 | $582.26 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3799999989 | $79.45 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $487.15 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.68 | $17.68 |
| 11-01 19:35 | Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will Cerro Porteno win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6899999996 | $577.02 |
| 11-01 19:07 | Will CD Extremadura win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4 | $976.77 |
| 11-01 19:04 | Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5118743138 | $487.49 |
| 11-01 19:04 | Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5) | BUY | 0.33 | $88.16 |
| 11-01 19:02 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5499999998 | $979.92 |
| 11-01 19:00 | Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.56 | $174.61 |