PolyBot

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Traders

luisotavio0312

0xcc3616221086e1ec1f0a59362284309f122ed35d

Realised P&L
$-9.5k
Volume
$606.1k
Markets traded
1,839
Open portfolio
$465.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,839
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? · No0.8400.665$29.60−$7.79
Will George Pickens have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7600.530$26.50−$11.50
Will Uzbekistan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · No0.6900.525$26.25−$8.25
Will George Kittle have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7700.470$23.50−$15.00
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? · No0.7800.410$20.50−$18.50
James Comey charges dropped by December 31? · Yes0.7600.400$20.00−$18.00
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.630$12.60−$4.20
Will Widad Témara be relegated from the 2026-27 Morocco Botola Pro? · No0.7600.410$12.30−$10.50
Will Renaissance Zemamra be relegated from the 2026-27 Morocco Botola Pro? · No0.7800.590$11.80−$3.80
Will DK Metcalf have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7600.570$11.40−$3.80
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.3400.225$11.25−$5.75
Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.555$11.10−$1.10
Will Teach You a Lesson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? · No0.6800.510$10.20−$3.40
Will Drake Maye have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6700.450$9.00−$4.40
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? · No0.7400.430$8.60−$6.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 22:05Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.5568399453$8.14
09-25 21:51Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.91$2.95
09-25 20:55Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.65$13.00
09-25 20:55Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$2.00
09-25 18:57Will Cleveland Browns finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?SELL0.95$19.00
09-25 18:07Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.12$2.40
09-25 17:35Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?SELL0.26$5.20
09-25 17:20Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.19$1.24
09-25 17:16Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?SELL0.25$5.00
09-25 16:36Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.58$8.35
09-25 15:12Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.02$1.00
09-25 15:06Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?SELL0.37$7.40
09-25 14:30Will Ethereum hit $6k by June 30, 2027?SELL0.84$16.80
09-25 14:19Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.104$1.39
09-25 13:57Will Toluca finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential?SELL0.73$14.60