-hsd
0xcc353a1919828abc98be78506a38d3ca47c2ad9b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.10
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $54.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.170 | $40.63 | −$9.37 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.432 | $8.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$4.50 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.296 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.17at 0.102Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$7.59at 0.120Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 18:45 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2962194476 | $22.77 |
| 10-19 18:44 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5079999837 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:43 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1159999954 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 18:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0979999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 18:34 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 18:32 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.2091845979 | $50.00 |