0xE1cEAf9aE9a16FEa3714684610d502d6BF30080c-1777000120782
0xcc2fb77c98d494ee059c4827d682cf355b264a32
- Realised P&L
- $-71.55
- Volume
- $46.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $22.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.029 | $19.70 | −$12.99 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No | 0.070 | 0.060 | $3.00 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.48 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Down | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.22 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.96at 0.002Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$2.02at 0.114Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$-1.42at 0.110Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 05:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 08-26 01:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 08-24 11:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 08-21 16:31 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.22 |
| 08-21 16:30 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.065 | $1.95 |
| 08-21 15:50 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.0440011675 | $20.35 |
| 08-14 10:03 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002380232 | $1.07 |
| 08-13 15:15 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 08-13 15:15 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $16.00 |
| 08-13 13:53 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.52 |
| 08-13 13:02 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.84 |
| 08-13 13:02 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.59 |
| 08-08 02:48 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |