PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChrisBill

0xcc2ea32ce17d22e2910fbe14c1e5e5c6bee72358

Realised P&L
$21.5k
Volume
$3.82M
Markets traded
649
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded649
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.5830.495$1.0k$184.00
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · No0.4100.365$433.61$53.46
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No0.4900.500$275.00+$5.50
Will Liverpool be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.7740.905$260.01+$37.66
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.005$219.11$90.67
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0550.105$214.91+$102.44
Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.6300.685$129.48+$10.40
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.2130.325$112.12+$38.60
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No0.8500.925$24.88+$2.02
Will Chelsea be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.7500.875$17.50+$2.50
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.3450.375$15.38+$1.23
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0650.004$8.42$129.18
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0500.001$0.00$0.30
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? · No0.3310.000$0.00$197.41
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$252.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 08:04Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.3451219512$14.15
09-12 16:04Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.2131111802$95.90
09-07 05:54Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.59$59.81
09-04 19:11Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?BUY0.41$487.07
09-02 06:43Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.49$392.00
08-19 11:15Will Liverpool be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.76$62.02
08-06 05:57Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.102$20.40
08-04 20:41Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.241$75.69
08-02 19:20Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.359226107$79.42
07-29 22:40Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.221$48.62
07-29 22:39Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.221$61.22
07-29 22:36Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.3$35.10
07-29 22:33Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.7$93.09
07-29 22:32Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.2768322606$412.48
07-29 15:31Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.82$180.40