0xcC2bF0CC7A58d496141F7FEbf87e3a71adF77e27-1779030221052
0xcc2bf0cc7a58d496141f7febf87e3a71adf77e27
- Realised P&L
- $10.64
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.365 | $3.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will India win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.011 | $0.41 | −$1.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.25at 0.347Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
- +$7.58at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$5.84at 0.177Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$4.61at 0.432Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.28at 0.507Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 18:26 | Will India win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 18:25 | Will India win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 18:23 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $4.00 |
| 07-18 23:06 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.92 | $8.76 |
| 07-18 10:32 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199999622 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 20:58 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.9125 | $11.77 |
| 07-15 18:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999659 | $4.00 |
| 07-12 17:06 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.43 | $7.16 |
| 07-12 15:32 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.239999964 | $4.00 |
| 07-12 02:33 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.4375 | $10.29 |
| 07-12 01:20 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 07-10 17:08 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.0139999966 | $4.00 |
| 06-10 17:39 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2299999603 | $4.00 |
| 06-10 17:36 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 17:36 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |