shtnmachine
0xcc2ab838e9224ef13d13b79eb72628c4d5ba9563
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $2.04M
- Markets traded
- 2,447
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,447
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.130Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?
- +$2.5kat 0.180Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?
- +$2.4kat 0.210Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$2.4kat 0.490Will England win on 2026-09-26?
- +$2.4kat 0.275Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 15:50 | Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 10-17 15:50 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 10-17 15:45 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 10-17 15:00 | Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 10-15 18:57 | Will Rīga FC win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 10-15 18:43 | FC Lugano vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $249.73 |
| 10-15 18:43 | FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 10-15 18:43 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 10-15 18:42 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 10-15 18:41 | KKS Lech Poznań vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 10-15 18:41 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $438.35 |
| 10-15 18:40 | Will FC Lugano vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.42 |
| 10-15 18:40 | Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 10-15 18:39 | SC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 10-15 18:39 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.3k |