PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

manuelxose

0xcc20eeadf94fe1daf0b74d5a09b1e1b548ffc697

Realised P&L
$10.72
Volume
$805.00
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$16.69

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7680.772$3.86+$0.02
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs · BNK FEARX0.6900.685$3.42−$0.03
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? · No0.5800.575$2.88−$0.03
Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss · Southern Miss0.3300.325$1.95−$0.03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.2280.228$1.82−$0.00
Penn State vs. Michigan · Penn State0.3300.335$1.68+$0.03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.1400.135$1.08−$0.04
Spread: Purdue (-3.5) · Purdue0.2100.001$0.00−$1.89
Washington vs. Purdue · Purdue0.6000.001$0.00−$3.00
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B · Legacy0.7300.000$0.00−$3.65
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-01? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$1.85
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 · Under0.5300.000$0.00−$2.65
Spread: Memphis (-6.5) · Memphis0.2600.000$0.00−$1.82
Raptors vs. Pistons · Raptors0.2300.000$0.00−$1.84
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Mathys Erhard · Mathys Erhard0.5100.000$0.00−$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 02:45Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.228$1.82
10-17 02:06Timberwolves vs. BullsBUY0.15$1.20
10-17 02:01Spread: Purdue (-3.5)BUY0.21$1.89
10-17 02:00Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.58$2.90
10-17 01:06Celtics vs. 76ersBUY0.23$1.38
10-17 01:01LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.69$3.45
10-17 01:01Spread: Memphis (-6.5)BUY0.26$1.82
10-17 01:01Bucks vs. PacersBUY0.35$1.75
10-17 01:01Hawks vs. MavericksBUY0.13$1.95
10-17 01:00Memphis vs. TulaneBUY0.52$2.60
10-17 01:00Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-16?BUY0.009$1.79
10-16 22:50LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-InSELL0.72$3.60
10-16 21:20LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-InBUY0.9$4.50
10-16 21:18Celtics vs. 76ersBUY0.64$3.20
10-16 21:05Arkansas State vs. Southern MissBUY0.33$1.98