ssrrtt66
0xcc209784715feef18a587f706aaac02a40721179
- Realised P&L
- $-9.37
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$13.08 |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 12? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.23at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 12?
- +$21.15at 0.500Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
- +$12.46at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10?
- +$9.06at 0.500Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5
- +$1.78at 0.947Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.77 |
| 09-06 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.0k |
| 07-07 14:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.74 |
| 07-01 14:42 | Will Bending Spoons' market cap be less than $16B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.61 |
| 06-24 11:58 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 24? | BUY | 0.980012 | $9.80 |
| 06-24 11:43 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.0244255319 | $1.15 |
| 06-15 11:36 | Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.956 | $23.90 |
| 06-09 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.9840115258 | $17.93 |
| 06-06 02:37 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.7600434783 | $12.24 |
| 06-01 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.960054 | $9.60 |
| 05-30 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.61 |
| 05-22 00:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23? | BUY | 0.981 | $11.77 |
| 04-23 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on April 24? | BUY | 0.995 | $32.08 |
| 04-11 07:38 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.947 | $1.7k |